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Will the Real Culprits of Climate Change ever be Impacted by it, and held Accountable?

Laiba Shahbaz

Laiba Shahbaz, an IR graduate and writer, a student of Sir Syed Kazim Ali

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21 July 2025

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This editorial explores whether the primary contributors to climate change, powerful corporations and affluent nations, will ultimately face the escalating impacts and be held accountable. It argues that economic and social pressures, alongside growing legal frameworks, are slowly compelling a reckoning for these actors.

Will the Real Culprits of Climate Change ever be Impacted by it, and held Accountable?

The escalating climate crisis, with its accelerating pace of extreme weather events, rising sea levels, and ecological collapse, disproportionately impacts the world's most vulnerable populations. While scientific consensus unequivocally points to human activity as the primary driver, a fundamental question persists: will the true architects of this existential threat, the powerful corporations and affluent nations historically responsible for the bulk of emissions, ever genuinely feel the brunt of its consequences and be held to account? This editorial will argue that despite initial resilience, the economic and social fabric of even the most insulated entities is beginning to fray under climate impacts, slowly bringing the crisis home. Crucially, the burgeoning legal and ethical push for accountability, ranging from landmark lawsuits to the concept of ecocide, suggests a future where evasion becomes increasingly untenable.

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The climate crisis is no longer a distant threat; it is a present reality unfolding across the globe, transforming landscapes and upending lives. From relentless heat waves shattering temperature records across Europe and North America to devastating floods submerging communities in Pakistan and unprecedented droughts gripping East Africa, the physical manifestations of a warming planet are undeniable. Furthermore, the scientific community has meticulously documented a clear causal link between anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions, primarily from the burning of fossil fuels, and these escalating phenomena. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) consistently reiterates that human influence has warmed the atmosphere, ocean, and land, leading to widespread and rapid changes. This global environmental degradation is not an act of nature alone but the direct consequence of decades of industrialisation, consumption, and policy choices that prioritised short-term economic gains over planetary health.

Historically, the burden of climate change has fallen most heavily upon those least responsible for its inception. Developing nations, particularly low-lying island states and regions reliant on subsistence agriculture, face existential threats from sea-level rise and altered weather patterns, despite their minimal historical contributions to greenhouse gas emissions. Significantly, Oxfam's 2020 report revealed that the richest 1% of the world's population were responsible for more than twice as much carbon emissions as the poorest 50% between 1990 and 2015. This stark disparity highlights a profound global injustice, where the consequences of unsustainable practices in one part of the world are exported to another. The pivotal question then becomes whether this inequity of impact will persist indefinitely or if the escalating severity of the crisis will eventually breach the carefully constructed shields of wealth and power, compelling a reckoning for those who have profited most from the activities driving global warming.

The notion that the powerful and affluent can indefinitely insulate themselves from climate change is, however, increasingly being challenged by mounting evidence and evolving legal frameworks.

The Breaching Walls of Economic Immunity

For decades, major industrialised nations and multinational corporations, particularly those in the fossil fuel sector, have largely managed to externalise the costs of their emissions. Their substantial wealth has provided a robust buffer, allowing for investments in infrastructure resilient to initial climate impacts, access to advanced warning systems, and the financial capacity to recover from disasters. Nevertheless, even these formidable economic fortresses are beginning to show cracks. Lloyd's of London, a leading insurer, warned in 2021 that climate change could cause global economic losses of up to $23 trillion by 2050, highlighting the increasing financial risks to industries and governments worldwide. Indeed, property values in coastal cities of affluent nations are already facing depreciation due to rising sea levels and increased flood risk. Furthermore, supply chains, upon which global corporations rely, are becoming more vulnerable to disruptions from extreme weather events, leading to unpredictable costs and reduced profitability. Agricultural yields in traditionally fertile regions are becoming less predictable, impacting food security and pricing even in wealthy countries. The costs associated with adapting to climate change, rebuilding after disasters, and managing climate-induced migration are placing unprecedented strains on national budgets, irrespective of a nation's wealth. Ultimately, the economic immunity once enjoyed is eroding, demonstrating that climate impacts are an indiscriminate force.

The Growing Specter of Climate Litigation

A significant and rapidly expanding front in holding climate culprits accountable is climate litigation. Activists, communities, and even some governments are increasingly turning to the courts to compel action and seek damages from major emitters and states. In a landmark ruling in 2021, a Dutch court ordered Shell to cut its global carbon emissions by 45% by 2030, a direct legal imposition on a major fossil fuel company's climate strategy. This case set a pivotal precedent, demonstrating that corporations can be legally obligated to align their operations with global climate goals. Similarly, lawsuits against governments for insufficient climate action are proliferating; for instance, the German Federal Constitutional Court's 2021 ruling found that the government's climate protection law was insufficient and placed an unfair burden on future generations. These legal challenges are not merely symbolic; instead, they represent a tangible mechanism for accountability, forcing polluters and policymakers to internalise the costs of their climate inaction and face judicial consequences for their past and ongoing contributions to the crisis. Consequently, the threat of legal action is becoming a powerful deterrent and a substantial driver for change.

The Ethical and Moral Imperative and the Concept of Ecocide

Beyond legal mechanisms, there is a growing moral and ethical pressure for accountability. The concept of "ecocide", defined as unlawful or wanton acts committed with knowledge that there is a substantial likelihood of severe and either widespread or long-term damage to the environment, is gaining significant traction as a potential international crime. While not yet universally adopted, its advocacy reflects a fundamental shift in how humanity views egregious environmental destruction. Significantly, in 2021, an independent expert panel drafted a legal definition of ecocide, intended for consideration by the International Criminal Court (ICC). Should ecocide become an internationally recognised crime, it would open new avenues for prosecuting individuals and entities responsible for the most severe environmental harm, potentially including those orchestrating significant greenhouse gas emissions. This evolving legal and ethical landscape highlights a growing societal demand for justice for environmental destruction, pushing the boundaries of traditional accountability frameworks to encompass planetary well-being.

Shifting Public Opinion and Corporate Reputation

Moreover, public awareness and concern about climate change have reached unprecedented levels, particularly in developed nations where information is readily accessible. This heightened awareness is translating into significant pressure on corporations and governments. Consumers are increasingly demanding sustainable products and practices; shareholders are pushing for environmental, social, and governance (ESG) criteria in investments; and employees are seeking purpose-driven work. Companies perceived as climate laggards or egregious polluters face significant reputational damage, boycotts, and difficulty attracting talent. Indeed, a 2023 YouGov poll in the UK revealed that 69% of Britons believe climate change is a serious threat, with growing support for stricter environmental regulations. This palpable shift in public sentiment represents a powerful, non-legal form of accountability, as it directly impacts a company's social licence to operate, its brand value, and ultimately, its bottom line. Consequently, corporations, driven by profit and public perception, are increasingly compelled to at least appear to address their climate impact, even if genuine transformation remains slow.

The Interconnectedness of Global Catastrophes and Future Instability

Crucially, the illusion of being insulated from climate change is further dismantled by the interconnected nature of global systems. Climate impacts in one region inevitably ripple outwards, affecting others, regardless of their wealth or historical emissions. Climate-induced migration, for instance, driven by droughts, floods, or sea-level rise in vulnerable regions, presents complex humanitarian and geopolitical challenges for all nations. 

Furthermore, resource scarcity, exacerbated by climate change, can fuel conflicts and instability far beyond initial impact zones. The United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) estimates that climate-related disasters displace tens of millions of people annually. Simultaneously, pandemics, which some scientists link to environmental degradation and climate change, have starkly demonstrated the fragility of global supply chains and the devastating economic and social costs that even the most affluent nations can incur. This profound interconnectedness means that even if a nation could theoretically protect its immediate borders from a rising tide, it cannot isolate itself from the global ramifications of a destabilised planet. Ultimately, the notion of complete immunity is a dangerous delusion.

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While the momentum towards accountability for climate change culprits is undeniably growing, it remains a slow and arduous process. The influence of powerful lobbying groups, the inherent complexities of international law, and the often glacial pace of political action pose formidable barriers. Despite some landmark legal victories and increasing public pressure, the scale of the necessary transformation still dwarfs current efforts. The critical challenge lies in translating these burgeoning signs of impact and accountability into genuinely transformative action, compelling a rapid and equitable transition away from the fossil fuel economy that has historically benefited the most powerful.

The global climate crisis, once perceived as a distant threat to be borne by the world's most vulnerable, is now unequivocally a universal challenge. This editorial has demonstrated that the historical architects of climate change, the powerful corporations and affluent nations, are indeed beginning to feel the profound and escalating impacts of a warming planet, both economically and socially. Furthermore, the growing momentum of climate litigation, the evolving concept of ecocide, and shifting public opinion are collectively building a formidable framework for accountability. Therefore, to restate the thesis, its multifaceted consequences are increasingly impacting the real culprits of climate change, and the mechanisms for holding them accountable are gradually, yet decisively, taking shape. The journey to genuine climate justice is long, but the tide is undeniably turning.

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21 July 2025

Written By

Laiba Shahbaz

MPhil Strategic studies

Student | Author

Edited & Proofread by

Sir Syed Kazim Ali

English Teacher

Reviewed by

Sir Syed Kazim Ali

English Teacher

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